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Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C by the grade filter. Rep. Marsha Blackburn R-Tenn. is tied with former Gov. Phil Bredesen D in a new poll of the closely-watched Tennessee Senate race.The survey conducted by East Tennessee State University on. Marist polling director Lee Miringoff joins Chuck at the big board to break down the new NBC/Marist polls and Democrats’ chances to flip the Senate with the midterm elections one week away. Oct.

2018/10/05 · Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. All posts tagged. Phil Bredesen's bid for US Senate as a centrist Democrat could be the path to victory for his party in the midterms. Lynn Moss, a 66-year-old retired teacher, has voted for both Democrats and. Former Tennessee governor Phil Bredesen D holds a 5-point lead over Rep. Marsha Blackburn Marsha Blackburn The evolution of Taylor Swift's political activism Kellyanne Conway responds to Taylor.

The shift in Blackburn's favor may be a dose of political reality for Bredesen in Tennessee, where President Donald Trump won by 26 points in 2016. The poll's sample shows that 43 percent of. Democrats were very pleased that Mr. Bredesen decided to run, and Republicans are worried that the race has seemed so close in a reliably Republican state. Pollsters compensate by giving more. A new poll conducted for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in Tennessee finds former Gov. Phil Bredesen D leading Rep. Marsha Blackburn R-TN in a U.S. Senate match up, 46% to 41% among likely voters, with 13. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. Bredesen narrowly won in 2002, but was re-elected in a landslide in 2006. With that said, Bredesen is now 75 years old, and the state has moved away from the Democrats in the past decade. Given.

Politico reports that a late January poll had Democratic former Gov. Phil Bredesen leading Republican U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn 47% to 45% in a head-to-head matchup in the Tennessee Senate race. The poll conducted by Glen. Republican Marsha Blackburn has pulled ahead of Democrat Phil Bredesen in the race for Senate in Tennessee, one of the few states where Democrats have a chance to pick up a seat this year, a new. Bredesen, a former governor and one-time Nashville mayor, had support from 48 percent of 538 likely voters, while U.S. Rep. Blackburn garnered 46 percent. The Aug. 25-28 survey says only 5 percent.

Democrat Phil Bredesen has a slight edge over Republican Marsha Blackburn in a tight Tennessee Senate race, according to an NBC News/Marist poll. The two candidates compete to replace Sen. Bob. Latest polls We've collected 36 polls for the Tennessee Senate election. We’re adjusting poll results in three ways: Polls of registered voters or all adults are adjusted to a likely-voter basis; older polls are adjusted based on shifts in the. Bredesen, an avowed centrist in the old Southern Democrat tradition, is trying to keep things local and low key — no big-name endorsements, please, unless they’re from Republicans. Tennessee.

Five of the last six publicly released polls, which include ones from Fox News, CBS, the New York Times and Reuters, have shown Blackburn with varying edges over Bredesen. One poll released in. 2018/10/31 · Poll: Marsha Blackburn has narrow lead over Phil Bredesen in Tennessee's closely-watched Senate race The Democrat, Bredesen, is better liked than his. Two new polls show Marsha Blackburn, Phil Bredesen in a dead heat in Senate race Republican Marsha Blackburn and Democrat Phil Bredesen are running for the U.S. Senate in Tuesday's election. 2018/10/18 · In previous polls, the difference between the two candidates has fluctuated wildly from Bredesen having a 10 point lead to Blackburn having a 14 point lead. More recent polls have tended to.

A new Tennessee Star Poll released on Monday shows that Rep. Marsha Blackburn R-TN-07 leads former Gov. Phil Bredesen, a Democrat, in a head-to-head general election matchup for the Tennessee U.S. Senate seat currently held by Sen. Bob Corker R-TN by 11 points, 50 percent to 39 percent. Now there may be factors in our favor not showing up in the Senate polls: Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Bredesen might have tons of young, newly registered voters ready to beat back Blackburn.

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